Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000204 0.000228 0.000254 0.000284 0.000317 0.000353 0.000395
2024-12-22 0.000168 0.000201 0.000238 0.000284 0.000338 0.000401 0.000479
2024-12-29 0.000143 0.000181 0.000226 0.000284 0.000357 0.000447 0.000565
2025-01-05 0.000122 0.000162 0.000212 0.000280 0.000370 0.000485 0.000644
2025-01-12 0.000107 0.000148 0.000203 0.000279 0.000386 0.000528 0.000733
2025-01-19 0.000096 0.000138 0.000196 0.000281 0.000404 0.000575 0.000831
2025-01-26 0.000085 0.000127 0.000186 0.000277 0.000413 0.000609 0.000915
2025-02-02 0.000080 0.000124 0.000188 0.000290 0.000447 0.000682 0.001060
2025-02-09 0.000074 0.000118 0.000185 0.000294 0.000469 0.000737 0.001184
2025-02-16 0.000069 0.000113 0.000182 0.000298 0.000488 0.000790 0.001308
2025-02-23 0.000063 0.000107 0.000176 0.000297 0.000501 0.000834 0.001422
2025-03-02 0.000057 0.000099 0.000169 0.000292 0.000505 0.000863 0.001512
2025-03-09 0.000053 0.000094 0.000164 0.000291 0.000519 0.000911 0.001643
2025-03-16 0.000049 0.000089 0.000160 0.000292 0.000535 0.000965 0.001790
2025-03-23 0.000045 0.000085 0.000156 0.000292 0.000550 0.001019 0.001944
2025-03-30 0.000041 0.000079 0.000150 0.000289 0.000557 0.001058 0.002074
2025-04-06 0.000038 0.000076 0.000146 0.000288 0.000570 0.001110 0.002232
2025-04-13 0.000036 0.000073 0.000143 0.000290 0.000588 0.001172 0.002416
2025-04-20 0.000033 0.000068 0.000138 0.000286 0.000594 0.001211 0.002557
2025-04-27 0.000032 0.000068 0.000141 0.000299 0.000635 0.001326 0.002866
2025-05-04 0.000031 0.000067 0.000140 0.000304 0.000660 0.001407 0.003112
2025-05-11 0.000029 0.000064 0.000139 0.000307 0.000681 0.001483 0.003356
2025-05-18 0.000027 0.000062 0.000136 0.000306 0.000695 0.001544 0.003569